Can Duke Football Make a Bowl Game in Mike Elko’s Year One?

Duke Blue Devils head coach Mike Elko pays tribute to his team during the second half of the Dukes' game against North Carolina A&T at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina on Saturday, September 17, 2022.

Duke Blue Devils head coach Mike Elko pays tribute to his group throughout the second half of the Dukes’ recreation in opposition to North Carolina A&T at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, North Carolina on Saturday, September 17, 2022.

5 wins within the final two seasons and no ball video games previously three are the explanation why Mike Elko is Duke’s coach and David Cutcliffe is not.

The transfer was made with the aim of getting again to the place Duke had been for the previous decade, when Cutcliffe led the Blue Devils to 6 video games over the pot in seven seasons from 2012-18.

Effectively, Elko has Dukes (3-0) midway to present eligibility simply three video games in his first main teaching job.

It is an amazing begin however, after all, Duke’s competitors ought to mood it up to now. Temple, Northwestern, and NC A&T mixed 2-7. So the timetable will get stricter from right here.

A yr in the past, Duke began 3-1 earlier than shedding all eight ACC video games.

Nonetheless, the outlook is healthier this season. ESPN’s Soccer Power Index places Duke’s probabilities of attaining ball eligibility at 79%. Professional Soccer Focus rankings have a 76% probability of the Blue Devils anticipating a season of seven wins.

For comparability, three ACC groups on Duke’s schedule — Virginia Tech (39%), Virginia (38%) and Boston School (4%) — have considerably worse prognosis in keeping with ESPN’s FPI.

With that in thoughts, this is a take a look at the remainder of Duke’s schedule with a take a look at how the opponents have carried out up to now and the possible Blue Devils to win.

Saturday, in Kansas

register: 3-0

Till now: The Jayhawks, who’re chasing this system’s first profitable report since 2008, look like headed towards a historic season. They’ve already gained highway video games in West Virginia and Houston due to a robust assault.

Duke’s Success Scale: is unlikely. Duke’s protection, though higher than the final two years, nonetheless confirmed some holes as he beat Northwestern. KS is provided to place factors on the board. The Blue Devils will discover it arduous to maintain up.

October. 1, Virginia

register: 2-1

Till now: Each colleges interviewed Tony Elliott, the offensive coordinator at Clemson, to be their head coach final December. Elliot headed to Virginia and employed Duke Elko. However regardless of having a proficient midfielder in Brennan Armstrong, the Cavaliers do not play like a group coached by somebody with a strong background in assault. The Cavaliers common simply 17.7 factors per recreation. They flipped it eight instances in three video games.

Duke’s Success Scale: A win seems to be extra possible now than it was a month in the past. Duke misplaced seven consecutive video games to Virginia. Bronco Mendenhall had a quantity as an task. However each coaches left after final season.


register: 1-2, 0-1 ACC

Till now: Plainly Jeff Collins’ period at Georgia Institute of Know-how is coming to an finish. Sure, the Yellow Jackets’ loss was to each ranked groups, however they misplaced each instances – 41-10 by Clemson, 42-0 by Mississippi. Georgia Tech’s third-place switch success (28.9%) is an enormous purpose why he was the final ACC to attain (15 factors per recreation).

Duke’s Success Scale: Though this recreation is in Atlanta, it’s a recreation that Duke should win to achieve pot eligibility. The Blue Devils are able to get this for positive.

October. 15, North Carolina

register: 3-0

Till now: Drake Maye proved to be an over-the-top quarterback for Sam Howell, who led the Tar Heels to victory the final thrice they performed Duke. It could be tough for the blue demons to cope with Maye. UNC protection is giving up yards and factors in massive chunks, one thing that Protection Coordinator Gene Chasik has to handle. However the Tar Heels rating lots with two freshmen – operating again Omion Hampton and vast receiver Kobe Paysour.

Duke’s Success Scale: Looks as if a loss. Sure, Duke has to maneuver the ball and rating within the UNC protection. However the Tar Heels have a lot expertise in assault that they need to get out of Wallace Wade to retain the Victory Bell Cup.

October. 22, in Miami

register: 2-1

Till now: New coach Mario Cristobal has reinvigorated the Hurricanes, spawning a lot of “The U is Again” work. 17-9 at Texas A&M misplaced this one. Nonetheless, Miami has a robust quarterback in Tyler Van Dyck and a extra succesful operating recreation with Henry Parrish. Miami’s protection has regarded good as far as effectively, awarding solely 12.3 factors per recreation.

Duke’s Success Scale: A tough highway recreation for blue devils is right here. Duke gained Miami in 2018 to clinch pot eligibility that season, so there are good emotions for the Blue Devils. However Miami shall be an enormous favorite this yr.

November. 4, at Boston School

register: 1-2, 0-1 ACC

Till now: The Eagles stumbled out of the gate this season, shedding 22-21 at dwelling to Rutgers earlier than shedding a recreation 27-10 at Virginia Tech. Whipping Maine, 38-17, final Saturday didn’t enhance Boston School’s expectations. With three interceptions already plus a 59.4% completion price, primary quarterback Phil Jurkovec would not appear to be a part of the skilled captain. Offensive Kevin Klein and Christian Mahogany are lacking this season with ACL tears. The Eagles began a popular gait into the left sort out in opposition to Maine.

Duke’s Success Scale: It appears possible. Late fall on a Friday night time within the Boston suburbs could be chilly. The Blue Devils have to win right here to spice up their operating probabilities.

November. 12, Virginia Tech

register: 2-1, 1-0 ACC

Till now: Hockey inflicted ache on themselves of their 20-17 loss at Outdated Dominion on September 2 by fumbling and fouling with penalty kicks and turnovers. They recovered by beating Boston School and Wofford. Nonetheless, there are nonetheless many questions on Brent Bray’s teaching period. That is not good within the subsequent 5 video games in opposition to West Virginia, UNC, Pittsburgh, Miami, NC State.

Duke’s Success Scale: There may be nothing incorrect. Virginia Tech’s season could also be within the rubbish by the point the flight involves Durham in November. Or the Hokies might enhance rapidly and want a Duke win for pot eligibility. Very quickly to seek out out.

November. 19, in Pittsburgh

register: 2-1

Till now: The ACC title-holders Panthers stay among the many prime 25 within the nationwide rankings as they solely misplaced a 34-27 setback in extra time to Tennessee State. That is regardless of the unstable quarterback scenario resulting from accidents to Kevin Sloves and Nick Batty. Nonetheless, Pete is averaging 33 factors per recreation due to operating again Israel Abanikanda (100.6 yards per recreation) and a robust offensive streak. Pete’s protection allowed 26 factors per recreation and compelled seven independents to help in assault.

Duke’s Success Scale: not good. Like Virginia, the Pittsburgh Duke has not been defeated since 2014. The Blue Devils are 1-7 in opposition to the Panthers within the ACC play. The Duke’s home paid largely.

November. 26, awakening the forest

register: 3-0

Till now: Damon Deacons struggled with a daunting well being situation involving Sam Hartmann (thrombosis) and the season is beginning to appear like a contender from the Atlantic as soon as once more. Wake’s assault yields 434 yards and 42 factors a recreation with Hartmann’s throw for giant recreation receivers AT Perry, Donavon Greene and Jahmal Banks. Wake’s protection solely allowed 23.7 factors per recreation.

Duke’s Success Scale: I am unable to see a win coming from this. Wake has a profitable streak of three straight video games with wins in 4 of his final 5 video games. Elko is constructing the Duke in the direction of this stage however the Blue Devils aren’t there but.

This story was initially printed September 20, 2022 6:15 am.

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Steve Wiseman has coated Duke Athletics since 2010 for the Durham Herald Solar and Rally Information & Observer. He positioned second in each information writing and breaking information within the 2019 Nationwide Related Press Sports activities Editors Competitors. Steve has beforehand labored for The State (Columbia, SC), Herald-Journal (Spartanburg, SC), The Solar Herald (Biloxi, Miss.), Charlotte Observer and Hickory (NC) Day by day Document masking tunes together with the NFL’s Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints, College of South Carolina Athletics and Supreme Committee Common Meeting. He has gained a number of statewide press union awards. Steve graduated from Illinois State College in 1989.

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